Sunday, July 5, 2009

As California goes, so will the US

From Contrarianprofits.com

As California goes, so will the US. It is our strong suspicion here at Notes that California’s fiscal crisis (what is really a profligate spending crisis) is but a prelude to the coming national debt crisis.

Last Thursday, ratings agency Fitch dropped the Golden State’s credit rating to A-minus and immediately placed that on negative credit watch. California shares three major problems with the US. It faces:

  1. A crippling budget deficit
  2. Declining tax revenues
  3. A legislature that won’t face up to critical issues.

Over the weekend, we read in wonder that by the non-partisan Congressional Budget Office’s own estimation America’s national debt is now growing so quickly that it will exceed the size of the economy in 2023 – seven years earlier than the projections of the last report just 18 months ago!

This from The Caucus, the politics and government blog at the New York Times:

The culprit is not the huge sum of stimulus spending that President Obama and Congress have injected into the economy this year, the budget office said. Instead, rising health care costs and an aging population together continue to push government spending upward at an unsustainable pace, only faster than the budget office last estimated.

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